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Development of DB Group
Economic development
| Anticipated development | 2018 | 2019 | 2019 | |
Volume sold – rail passenger transport | 84.5 | >85 | >85 | |
Volume sold – rail freight transport (billion tkm) | 88.2 | >97 | >92 | |
Train kilometers on track infrastructure | 1.1 | >1.1 | >1.1 | |
Shipments land transport (million) | 106.5 | ~110 | ~110 | |
Air freight volume (export) (million t) | 1.3 | >1.3 | >1.1 | |
Ocean freight volume (export) (million TEU) | 2.2 | >2.4 | >2.3 | |
Customer satisfaction – passengers (SI) | 75.1 | ~77 | ~77 | |
Punctuality DB Group (rail) in Germany (%) | 93.4 | >94 | >94 | |
Punctuality DB Long-Distance (%) | 74.9 | 76.5 | 76.5 | |
Revenues (€ billion) | 44.0 | >45 | >45 | |
EBIT adjusted (€ billion) | 2.1 | ≥1.9 | ≥1.9 | |
ROCE (%) | 5.8 | ~4.4 | ~4.4 | |
Redemption coverage (%) | 17.6 | ~17 | ~16 | |
Based on the development in the first half of 2019 and the current assessments for the second half of 2019, we partially adjusted our expectations:
- We expect the increase in volume sold in rail freight transport and in volumes in ocean and air freight to be weaker than before as a result of the developments in the first half of 2019.
- The development in redemption coverage will likely be slightly weaker than forecast due to the expected increase in pension provisions.
Due to the currently ongoing evaluation process regarding a potential sale or IPO of DB Arriva, we refrain from giving an updated forecast for the development of business units in the 2019 financial year. The respective forecasts from the 2018 Integrated Report are therefore no longer current.