Passenger transport
| Anticipated market development / % | 2024 | 2025 (Mar forecast) | 2025 (Jul forecast) |
|---|---|---|---|
| German passenger transport (based on pkm) | +2.0 | +1.5 | +1.5 |
As of July 2025. Forecast for 2025 rounded to nearest half percentage point.
The German passenger transport market was characterized by continued growth in 2024, but still remained below pre-Covid-19 levels. Growth is expected to continue in 2025, but to be weaker. The development of demand for transport also depends on regulatory policy measures, economic developments and the mobility behavior of the population. Commuter transport and business travel are undergoing major long-term changes, and are partially being substituted with mobile working and digital communication.
- Although motorized individual transport is likely to continue to record growing volumes in 2025, it is expected to remain below pre-Covid-19 levels. Sustained high fuel prices and a change in mobility behavior following the Covid-19 pandemic are still having a dampening effect.
- In 2025, domestic German air transport stabilized at a significantly lower level than before the Covid-19 pandemic.
- Public road passenger transport is expected to increase in 2025. Contrary to this trend, however, the long-distance bus services included in this segment are likely to decline noticeably in 2025.
- Rail passenger transport is expected to see an increase in volume sold. This growth will be dampened by restrictions due to the high level of construction activity, among other things. Demand in local transport is continuing to benefit from the Germany-Ticket.
In European passenger transport, too, development is specific to the mode of transport and varies regionally. The climate policy of the EU and its member states remains the long-term driver of development in environmentally friendly public mobility, including rail passenger transport in particular.