Outlook

Additional key figures for income, financial and asset situation

Anticipated development (€ billion)

2020

2021

(Mar
forecast)

2021
(Jul
forecast)
 Revenues

39.9

>41

>42

EBIT adjusted

– 2.9

~ 2

~ 2

Gross capital expenditures

14.4

>15

>15

Net capital expenditures

5.9

>6

>6

Maturities

2.3

2,2

2.2

Bond issues (senior)

5.4

>5

>5

Net financial debt as of Dec 31

29.3

<30

~31

Based on the development to date and the current estimates for the second half of 2021, we have partially adjusted our expectations:

  • Revenues will increase somewhat more strongly than previously expected, driven by DB Schenker.
  • Taking into account the positive effects of the planned, and with regards to the timing, slightly changed support measures from the Federal Government to compensate for DB Group’s losses from the Covid-19 pandemic, and the assumed development of the Covid-19 pandemic, net financial debt is expected to be somewhat higher as of December 31, 2021, than ­assumed in March 2021.

Due to the improvement in operating profit, the positive effects of the planned compensation measures for the Covid-19 pandemic (train-path price support µ3) and the absence of extraordinary impairments on goodwill at DB Arriva in the previous year, net loss for the year will be signi­fi­cantly lower, but is expected to remain a loss.

Where would you most likely position yourself?Thank you for your feedback!